$9.4K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55% | 45.7% | $4.09M | |
| 44% | 44.0% | $2.62M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Michigan's 4th District race remains unsettled, with recent coverage saying Democrat Sean McCann has not yet secured the nomination. On the Republican side, Phil Tanis qualified for the primary against Rep. Bill Huizenga. Most of the reporting so far is about candidate positioning rather than a clear race-changing development. The market still looks early and uncertain because the field is not fully set. The latest news does not show a clear shift toward either party.
Key races to watch include the face off between Sen. Ed Markey and Rep. Seth Moulton for the Democrate Senate nomination and what will happen with Moulton's empty seat.
A couple of open seats, a tossup district in mid-Michigan and a Democratic challenge in Detroit round out the list of Aug. 4 primary contests.
U.S. Rep. Ayanna Pressley spent the weekend in Michigan, where a pivotal U.S. Senate primary previews a Democratic battles brewing in Massachusetts.
Here's who is running in the general election in every Michigan congressional district.
The Sentinel sent a questionnaire to all candidates and received responses from each, edited for length and clarity.
Candidates had until 4 p.m. to file their paperwork and nominating petitions to get a shot at appearing on the Aug. 4 primary ballots.
Phil Tanis, 61, said he is running a donation-free campaign focused on restoring civility and public service.
The Republican Party’s response to questions about the continued economic pain ahead of the 2026 midterm elections is now essentially: A noun, a verb and “Joe Biden.”
Sean McCann accepted at least $57,600 from DTE Energy and CMS Energy while supporting Michigan's Green New Deal policies projected to increase utility rates for customers.
El-Sayed, the Senate Democratic nominee in Michigan, appeared with Piker at campaign events during the primary season.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Nov 20, 2025 and Jun 1, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
B. HuizengaBill HuizengaS. McCannSean Andrew McCannSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
