$6.6K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 91% | $1.43M | |
| 11% | $24.9K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Supreme Court voting-rights rulings could make it easier for Republican-led states to redraw congressional maps before 2026. At the same time, Republicans have lost ground in several key House districts, which helps Democrats’ overall House outlook. The net effect on this district is unclear. The redistricting rulings could modestly favor Republicans if they lead to more favorable maps, but the broader House environment still looks more competitive for Democrats. For this district, the effect is indirect and uncertain.
Get live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as Ex-Mike Pence aide Olivia Troye announces a run for Congress as a Democrat and Rep. Eric Swalwell says he will resign from Congress amid sexual assault allegations.
Excerpts from recent editorials in the United States and abroad: ___ May 8 The Washington Post on Trump's second tariff defeat The Trump administration is…
The Supreme Court rule 6-3 in a decision that has implications for the scope of the landmark Voting Rights Act.
Several seats thought to be safe for Republicans shifted toward competitiveness in new Sabato’s Crystal Ball midterm ratings.
The Supreme Court retreats from 1986 rules that called for electing Blacks and Latinos to Congress and state and local boards.
The current Supreme Court seems completely comfortable that we might return to the days in which states create winner-take-all congressional delegations.
Local elections are where the Callais decision could be felt most
We asked our three writers: Will recent court rulings on redistricting give Republicans an advantage in the midterms?
A total of 35 Senate seats will be on the ballot this November, with only 11 rated as remotely competitive by the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter. Republicans are on defense in more of those seats than Democrats, but Democrats need a longshot sweep to take control of the chamber. Lisa Desjardins speaks with Jessica Taylor, senate and governors editor at the Cook Political Report, for more.
Welcome to From the Politics Desk, a daily newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Mar 10, 2026 and Mar 12, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
T. MooreTim MooreL. WomackLaKesha WomackSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
