$8.1K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 24, 2026, 6:53 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 97% | $1.68M | |
| 3% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest new development is North Carolina Republicans’ new congressional map, which makes the 1st District more Republican-friendly by shifting Democratic areas elsewhere. Broader House ratings also show some movement toward Democrats, but Republicans still keep a narrow overall edge. The North Carolina redraw appears to help Republicans in the state’s House map, though the provided news does not directly mention the 2nd District. Overall House control remains competitive, with some recent movement toward Democrats elsewhere.
You’re going to be hearing a lot more about Darializa Avila Chevalier.
Democrats believe Iowa will be competitive in this year's midterm elections despite the state's increasingly conservative lean.
Nevada, South Carolina and North Dakota hosted primary elections Tuesday, but much of the political world was focused on Maine’s high-stakes U.S. Senate contest. The results were never in question....
After 10 states enacted new congressional maps, Republicans are in position to gain up to 16 seats this fall, compared with six for the Democrats, as the parties vie for control of the House.
Amy Davidson Sorkin on Josh Turek, Zach Wahls, Sherrod Brown, and James Talarico—and how something has changed lately in the dynamics of the Democrats’ fight to reclaim the Senate, or, at least, in the Party’s mood.
Get live updates and the latest news as Trump arrives in China for his summit with Xi Jinping and the Nebraska 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary remains too close to call.
The NRCC’s polling of the battleground districts shows Republicans are competitive in five Democrat-held districts that Trump won in 2024.
Democrats are competitive in three Virginia districts held by Republicans that could determine control of the House in the 2026 elections.
WASHINGTON — Another month, and another batch of rating changes that benefit Democrats. But the House Republican majority is not lost yet, according to a district-by-district analysis of the House battleground. With less than five months to go, the fundamentals of midterm elections continue to favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s job rating is underwater at 39% approve and 58% disapprove, ...
Republican incumbents are facing tough challenges in Maine and Nevada. In South Carolina, a crowded field of MAGA-devoted Republicans are facing off to be the next governor.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
D. RossDeborah K. RossSource: FEC
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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
