$1.6K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$1.6K
24h volume
$1
source: Kalshi
Missouri’s new House map is under court review, and the challenge focuses on the 5th District held by Democrat Emanuel Cleaver. Elsewhere, Louisiana and South Carolina are still weighing redistricting changes and possible primary delays. The broader redistricting wave is making more House seats safer. The Missouri court fight adds uncertainty around district lines, but the broader trend in the summaries points toward safer seats and fewer competitive races. That could modestly favor the party benefiting from new maps, while keeping this market sensitive to redistricting outcomes.
Missouri's top court is hearing an important legal challenge Tuesday to one of President Donald Trump's earliest redistricting successes while lawmakers in…
Gov. Abigail Spanberger's (D-VA) redistricting push could wipe out multiple House Republicans if it passes on Tuesday.
As states have redrawn their maps, the number of districts likely to flip has further dwindled.
Louisiana GOP senators advanced plan to eliminate one majority-Black, Democratic-held seat.
Rather than waning, a national redistricting battle that began 10 months ago has intensified — inflamed by a recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling that weakened the federal Voting Rights Act.
Missouri's top court is hearing an important legal challenge Tuesday to one of President Donald Trump's earliest redistricting successes while lawmakers in Louisiana and South Carolina weigh whether to become the most recent Republican states to redraw U.S. House districts ahead of the midterm elections.
Virginia Democrats hope the congressional map they’re asking voters to approve will flip four Republican House districts, delivering 10 of 11 seats in a state former Vice President Kamala Harris won with just 52% of the vote in 2024.
President Donald Trump is waging a retribution campaign against some fellow Republicans in the primary in Indiana.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.