Democratic Party
8%24H21%That’s above the previous high of 13% for the Democratic Party in "NC-07 House winner?"
That’s above the previous high of 13% for the Democratic Party in "NC-07 House winner?"
The Democratic Party’s odds in "NC-07 House winner?" are now 22%, above the prior high of 13% over the last 60 days.
Republican Party's odds in "NC-07 House winner?" are now 78%, below the prior low of 85% over the last 60 days.
Republicans are treating Tennessee’s 7th special election as a turnout test and pointing to a GOP win there as a positive sign. But party officials also worry about Trump-era turnout and broader headwinds. Another report says higher gas prices could hurt Republicans in targeted House races. The news is mildly favorable for Republicans overall, but the effect on this North Carolina House market is indirect. It mainly adds uncertainty around turnout and midterm conditions rather than changing the race-specific outlook.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.