$87.7K
AUG 4, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 5, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 100% | $10.90M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Abdul El-Sayed is now the Democratic nominee in Michigan and is running against Republican Mike Rogers. Recent coverage says the race is nearly tied, while El-Sayed also faces fallout over comments by Hasan Piker. He is trying to keep the focus on healthcare and other cost issues. The race still looks highly competitive, with recent polling showing a tight contest. The Piker controversy could add some downside risk for El-Sayed, but the overall effect is still uncertain.
Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Michigan, has distanced himself from progressive online commentator Hasan Piker.
Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Michigan, has distanced himself from progressive online commentator Hasan Piker.
The progressive streamer’s comments suggesting people may “take action” against Jews in the U.S. drew a rebuke from other Michigan Democrats.
Americans should think long and hard about this disturbing double standard.
On Monday's broadcast of the Fox News Channel's "Jesse Watters Primetime," Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed responded to questions on the | Clips
The Michigan progressive checked the veep for “trying to change the channel” during an Ohio rally speech.
The AI backlash is now hitting the six Senate races that Cook Political Report rates as toss-ups heading into November.
JD Vance blasted Michigan Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed over past remarks linking Sharia law criticism to white supremacy.
Michigan's Democrat U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed, became hot under the collar when he misunderstood comments from VP JD Vance.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Apr 11, 2026 and Apr 13, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. RogersMike RogersG. ScottGenevieve ScottB. SmithBernadette SmithF. HeurtebiseFrederick HeurtebiseSource: FEC
