$87.7K
AUG 4, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 5, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 100% | $10.90M |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Mike Rogers is continuing to attack Abdul El-Sayed over 9/11-related comments and his ties to Hasan Piker. The reports say El-Sayed remains the Democratic nominee and do not show any change in the Republican nomination race. Republican groups are also spending heavily to defend Michigan and other battleground Senate seats. The news is mostly about the general election, not the Republican nomination market itself. It likely has little direct effect on GOP nominee odds, though broader Republican spending signals continued focus on Michigan.
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“I am interested in serving the United States. I’m interested in swearing an oath to the Constitution that every senator has sworn an oath to,” Abdul El-Sayed said.
On Friday's broadcast of the Fox News Channel's "The Story," Rep. Debbie Dingell (D-MI) responded to a question on Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate nominee | Clips
With the midterm election fast approaching, this weekend will see some of the most high-profile group of names visiting Michigan in a long time — former President Barack Obama and President Trump.
A political group backed by a Republican-aligned PAC is targeting Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed with a social media video.
During an interview aired on Friday's broadcast of the Fox News Channel's "Special Report," Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed | Clips
"I don’t know what’s happened where the standards of behavior are so low that somebody could run an ad like that.”
Former President Barack Obama has stepped into one of America's ugliest midterm fights as he works to rally Democratic voters in battleground Ohio.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Apr 11, 2026 and Apr 13, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. RogersMike RogersG. ScottGenevieve ScottB. SmithBernadette SmithF. HeurtebiseFrederick HeurtebiseSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
