Prediction Edge
ClosedPrimary ElectionDemocratic

2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary Results

Primary Day: Recorded market close:

Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' saved odds. Updated .

CandidateSaved odds
100%

Odds

Odds History

Total volume

$4.2M

24h volume

$2.2K

source: Kalshi

Politics IQ

Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data

Maine · US Senate

Lean DemocraticBattleground watch

State Lean

Lean Democratic

Battleground watch

Primary System

Party primary or state-specific

No primary runoff

Election Rules

Primary Jun 9, 2026

Runoff: No

General: Nov 3, 2026

Early voting

In-person absentee voting generally runs from 30 days before Election Day through three business days before Election Day.

Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · U.S. Senate, Class II senators · U.S. Senate, current senator list · 270toWin/Cook · NCSL

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Maine 2026 general election

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Troy Jackson is now the confirmed Democratic nominee after Graham Platner withdrew. Recent polling still shows a tight race, and Republicans have begun attacking Jackson’s tax record. The contest remains competitive with no clear leader. Jackson’s nomination is now settled, but the close polling suggests the race remains competitive. The new attacks may add some downside risk for Jackson, though the overall effect is still mixed.

Articles
BNBaltimore News13 hours ago

EXPLAINER | What's at stake in the 2026 midterm elections

The results will determine who serves in Congress for the next two years.

MLM Live Michigan 1 day ago

Senate midterms 2026: Latest polls show GOP trouble in battleground states

In order to flip the Senate, Democrats need to keep control of their 47 seats and gain four more.

PPPortland Press Herald15 hours ago

Live updates: Polls open across Maine on Election Day

Mainers are voting in highly watched Senate, congressional and governor's elections, as well as state, county and local races and referendums. Polls are open until 8 p.m.

SSlate2 days ago

This Wasn’t Supposed to Be Senate Democrats’ Year. Here’s What Changed.

The party is in the midst of a remarkable comeback—mostly thanks to one man.

PPPortland Press Herald2 days ago

Election Day is Tuesday. Here’s what Mainers need to know

Whether you're planning to vote Tuesday, still have that absentee ballot sitting on your counter, or are just eager to see how it all shakes out, here's what to expect on Election Day.

PNPBS News19 hours ago

Live Results: Maine Senate midterm election

Maine's Senate election pits incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins against Democratic former state Senate President Troy Jackson.

FNFox News2 days ago

Susan Collins blasts Chuck Schumer over what she calls false attack ads

Sen. Susan Collins accused Chuck Schumer and Democrats of flooding Maine voters with “outright lies" in attack ads as she faces a tight reelection race against Troy Jackson.

UTUSA TODAY1 day ago

What early voting data tell us about the 2026 midterm elections

Approximately 54 million Americans have offered a glimpse into the midterm election, which is seeing an uptick in younger and racially diverse voters.

Latest Polls

Polling Average
80%60%40%20%0%
55.4%
31.4%
Graham Platner
G. Platner
Janet Mills
J. Mills
David Allen Costello
D. Costello
Date (Start - End)SpreadPlatnerMillsCostello
Polling Average
Platner+24.0
55.4%31.4%1.9%
Tavern ResearchJun 5 - 5
Platner+52.0
68.0%16.0%5.0%
Tavern ResearchJun 5 - 5
Platner+38.0
69.0%31.0%–
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterMay 21 - 25
Platner+66.0
76.0%10.0%3.0%
Workbench StrategyApr 6 - 9
Platner+35.0
64.0%29.0%–
Maine People's Resource CenterMar 20 - 31
Platner+33.1
61.1%28.0%1.8%
Emerson CollegeMar 21 - 23
Platner+26.7
54.7%28.0%0.8%
Impact ResearchMar 19 - 23
Platner+38.0
66.0%28.0%–
Quantus InsightsMar 3 - 5
Platner+5.3
43.3%38.0%–
Pan Atlantic ResearchFeb 13 - Mar 2
Platner+7.0
46.0%39.0%4.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterFeb 12 - 16
Platner+38.0
64.0%26.0%1.0%
Pan Atlantic ResearchNov 29 - Dec 7
Mills+10.0
37.0%47.0%1.0%
Z to A ResearchNov 14 - 18
Platner+20.0
58.0%38.0%0.0%
Maine People's Resource CenterOct 26 - 29
Platner+1.8
41.0%39.2%–
Maine People's Resource CenterOct 26 - 29
Platner+6.8
53.4%46.6%–
SoCal StrategiesOct 21 - 25
Mills+5.0
36.0%41.0%1.0%
NRSCOct 22 - 23
Platner+21.0
46.0%25.0%–
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterOct 16 - 21
Platner+34.0
58.0%24.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand
Aug 31, 2026
$25M
$18.8M
$12.5M
$6.3M
$0
G. Platner
J. Mills
J. Golden
D. Kleban
C. Pingree
S. Bellows
D. Costello
S. Gideon
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
Graham PlatnerG. Platner
$21.05MContrib: $21.00M
$1.76MSpent: $19.29M
$1.07MLast period: $4.67M
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Janet MillsJ. Mills
$6.06MContrib: $5.64M
$102.8KSpent: $5.96M
$331.1KLast period: -$530.2K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Jared GoldenJ. Golden
$2.58MContrib: $2.30M
$397.7KSpent: $2.31M
$128.4KLast period: -$3.5K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Dan KlebanD. Kleban
$458.8KContrib: $458.7K
$87Spent: $458.7K
$25.5KLast period: $0
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Chellie PingreeC. Pingree
$429.6KContrib: $417.4K
$423.1KSpent: $422.2K
$23.5KLast period: $41.4K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
Shenna BellowsS. Bellows
$381.4KContrib: $381.4K
$136Spent: $381.2K
$19.1KLast period: $336.9K
TERMINATION REPORT · Aug 31, 2026
David Allen CostelloD. Costello
$154.4KContrib: $44.4K
$0Spent: $154.4K
$7.7KLast period: -$250
TERMINATION REPORT · Aug 26, 2026
Sara GideonS. Gideon
$49.0KContrib: $0
$2.43MSpent: $1.38M
$76.8KLast period: -$2.2K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?

All preserved contracts have verified final results.

  • Aaron Frey

    Will it be confirmed that Aaron Frey is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Ashley Webb

    Will it be confirmed that Ashley Webb is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Brian Bryant

    Will it be confirmed that Brian Bryant is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Chellie Pingree

    Will it be confirmed that Chellie Pingree is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • David Costello

    Will it be confirmed that David Costello is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Dan Kleban

    Will it be confirmed that Dan Kleban is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Emily Cain

    Will it be confirmed that Emily Cain is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Elizabeth Dickerson

    Will it be confirmed that Elizabeth Dickerson is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Graham Platner

    Will it be confirmed that Graham Platner is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Jared Golden

    Will it be confirmed that Jared Golden is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Janet Mills

    Will it be confirmed that Janet Mills is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Jordan Wood

    Will it be confirmed that Jordan Wood is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Mattie Daughtrey

    Will it be confirmed that Mattie Daughtrey is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • No one

    Will it be confirmed that No one is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Nirav Shah

    Will it be confirmed that Nirav Shah is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Patrick Dempsey

    Will it be confirmed that Patrick Dempsey is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Paige Loud

    Will it be confirmed that Paige Loud is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Shenna Bellows

    Will it be confirmed that Shenna Bellows is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Sara Gideon

    Will it be confirmed that Sara Gideon is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Troy Jackson

    Will it be confirmed that Troy Jackson is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: Yes

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC

  • Valli Geiger

    Will it be confirmed that Valli Geiger is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?

    Final: No

    Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC