State Lean
Lean Democratic
Battleground watch
Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Compare the candidates' saved odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds |
|---|---|
| 100% |
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Total volume
$4.2M
24h volume
$2.2K
source: Kalshi
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Maine · US Senate
State Lean
Lean Democratic
Battleground watch
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Jun 9, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Early voting
In-person absentee voting generally runs from 30 days before Election Day through three business days before Election Day.
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · U.S. Senate, Class II senators · U.S. Senate, current senator list · 270toWin/Cook · NCSL
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
November
TUE 3
Maine 2026 general election
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Troy Jackson is now the confirmed Democratic nominee after Graham Platner withdrew. Recent polling still shows a tight race, and Republicans have begun attacking Jackson’s tax record. The contest remains competitive with no clear leader. Jackson’s nomination is now settled, but the close polling suggests the race remains competitive. The new attacks may add some downside risk for Jackson, though the overall effect is still mixed.
The results will determine who serves in Congress for the next two years.
In order to flip the Senate, Democrats need to keep control of their 47 seats and gain four more.

Mainers are voting in highly watched Senate, congressional and governor's elections, as well as state, county and local races and referendums. Polls are open until 8 p.m.
The party is in the midst of a remarkable comeback—mostly thanks to one man.

Whether you're planning to vote Tuesday, still have that absentee ballot sitting on your counter, or are just eager to see how it all shakes out, here's what to expect on Election Day.

Maine's Senate election pits incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins against Democratic former state Senate President Troy Jackson.
Sen. Susan Collins accused Chuck Schumer and Democrats of flooding Maine voters with “outright lies" in attack ads as she faces a tight reelection race against Troy Jackson.
Approximately 54 million Americans have offered a glimpse into the midterm election, which is seeing an uptick in younger and racially diverse voters.



| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Platner | Mills | Costello |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Platner+24.0 | 55.4% | 31.4% | 1.9% |
Tavern ResearchJun 5 - 5 | Platner+52.0 | 68.0% | 16.0% | 5.0% |
Tavern ResearchJun 5 - 5 | Platner+38.0 | 69.0% | 31.0% | – |
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterMay 21 - 25 | Platner+66.0 | 76.0% | 10.0% | 3.0% |
Workbench StrategyApr 6 - 9 | Platner+35.0 | 64.0% | 29.0% | – |
Maine People's Resource CenterMar 20 - 31 | Platner+33.1 | 61.1% | 28.0% | 1.8% |
Emerson CollegeMar 21 - 23 | Platner+26.7 | 54.7% | 28.0% | 0.8% |
Impact ResearchMar 19 - 23 | Platner+38.0 | 66.0% | 28.0% | – |
Quantus InsightsMar 3 - 5 | Platner+5.3 | 43.3% | 38.0% | – |
Pan Atlantic ResearchFeb 13 - Mar 2 | Platner+7.0 | 46.0% | 39.0% | 4.0% |
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterFeb 12 - 16 | Platner+38.0 | 64.0% | 26.0% | 1.0% |
Pan Atlantic ResearchNov 29 - Dec 7 | Mills+10.0 | 37.0% | 47.0% | 1.0% |
Z to A ResearchNov 14 - 18 | Platner+20.0 | 58.0% | 38.0% | 0.0% |
Maine People's Resource CenterOct 26 - 29 | Platner+1.8 | 41.0% | 39.2% | – |
Maine People's Resource CenterOct 26 - 29 | Platner+6.8 | 53.4% | 46.6% | – |
SoCal StrategiesOct 21 - 25 | Mills+5.0 | 36.0% | 41.0% | 1.0% |
NRSCOct 22 - 23 | Platner+21.0 | 46.0% | 25.0% | – |
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterOct 16 - 21 | Platner+34.0 | 58.0% | 24.0% | 1.0% |
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
G. PlatnerGraham Platner
J. MillsJanet Mills
J. GoldenJared Golden
D. KlebanDan Kleban
C. PingreeChellie Pingree
S. BellowsShenna Bellows
D. CostelloDavid Allen Costello
S. GideonSara GideonSource: FEC
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
All preserved contracts have verified final results.
Will it be confirmed that Aaron Frey is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Ashley Webb is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Brian Bryant is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Chellie Pingree is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that David Costello is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Dan Kleban is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Emily Cain is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Elizabeth Dickerson is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Graham Platner is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Jared Golden is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Janet Mills is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Jordan Wood is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Mattie Daughtrey is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
No one
Will it be confirmed that No one is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Nirav Shah
Will it be confirmed that Nirav Shah is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Patrick Dempsey is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Paige Loud is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Shenna Bellows is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Sara Gideon is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Troy Jackson is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: Yes
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC
Will it be confirmed that Valli Geiger is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
Final: No
Settled Jul 31, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC