$9.1M
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 18, 2026, 11:58 AM UTC.
Total volume
$9.1M
24h volume
$141.3K
source: Kalshi
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.
The latest court ruling keeps mail voting rules intact for the midterms while a Trump-linked super PAC is simultaneously pouring money into competitive Senate races, a combination that should keep control-of-Senate pricing volatile.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
The biggest development is the Supreme Court’s decision to block new mail-ballot restrictions, keeping existing voting rules in place for the 2026 elections. Republicans are also pouring money into key Senate races, while a new Iowa poll shows Ashley Hinson ahead by 5 points. The mail-ballot ruling may reduce uncertainty around turnout rules, while heavy GOP spending suggests Republicans are aggressively defending the map. The Iowa poll is a modest positive for Republicans, but the overall Senate picture remains competitive.
Opinion: Though unlikely, if independents perform well in the midterms, neither party might control the U.S. Senate, writes Dave Anderson.
Democratic incumbents were rocked by a wave of upsets from far-left challengers as their primary voters indicated that "socialism" isn't necessarily a dirty word for them.
Polls show Mary Peltola leading Dan Sullivan in Alaska, sending a warning to Republicans in a state Trump won three times.
President Donald Trump visited Gastonia Wednesday, Sept. 16, to attend a campaign rally for U.S. Senate candidate Michael Whatley.
Vice President JD Vance told The Post that the Trump administration's agenda is on the line in the 2026 midterms and Republicans will need their voters to turn out in droves.
The new Texas map gives Republicans a shot at flipping five seats. On paper.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
