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NOV 7, 2026
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New coverage on May 7 says Michigan Republicans see a tougher statewide environment, while Reuters describes Democrats as facing an uphill climb to retake Senate control. That matters because the control market is already pricing Republicans at 55.5%, and the latest news reinforces the GOP edge rather than just repeating the same churn.
The Democratic Party is up 5 points in the last hour, with current odds at 53%.
The Democratic Party is now at 48% after a 5.5-point drop in the last hour.
Indiana primary results showed several GOP incumbents losing to Trump-backed challengers, underscoring Trump’s continued sway in Republican primaries. Trump also endorsed Barry Moore in Alabama’s Senate race. In Michigan, Republicans are described as facing a tougher environment in the open Senate contest amid economic and political headwinds and signs of a Democratic swing. The Michigan reporting points to potential headwinds for Republicans in a key battleground Senate race, which could modestly support Democratic Senate-control odds. Trump’s primary influence and endorsements may increase uncertainty around GOP nominee quality in some states.
Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Sherrod Brown easily clinched their respective parties’ nominations for governor and U.S. Senate during Ohio’s primary election on Tuesday.
Michigan Republicans once viewed 2026 as their best chance to reclaim power in the battleground state.
Three Australian women were refused bail when they appeared in courts on Friday charged with slavery and terrorism offenses after they arrived home from Sy
The results in Indiana offer early insight into Trump’s ability to shape down-ballot Republican primaries.
Calling the congressman a totally reliable MAGA Warrior and praising him as one of his all time favorites, President Donald Trump on Thursday endorsed Rep. Barry Moore in Alabama's U.S. Senate race.
The poll shows both candidates holding most of their March support, with 95% of Paxton voters and 91% of Cornyn voters planning to stick with their original choice in the May 26 runoff.
Michigan Republicans once viewed 2026 as their best chance to reclaim power. Now, party officials and strategists see warning signs.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
