State Lean
Strong Republican
Not a core swing state
ActiveGeneral Election
2028 Arkansas Senate Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Recorded market close:
Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)
$1.3K
NOV 11, 2028
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
R. party
89.0%
D. party
12.0%
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$1.3K
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Arkansas · US Senate
Strong RepublicanNot a core swing stateRunoff possible
Primary System
Party primary with runoff
Runoff possible: Mar 31, 2026
Election Rules
Primary Mar 3, 2026
Runoff: Mar 31, 2026
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Hallie Shoffner is now the Democratic nominee for Arkansas’s 2028 Senate race and will challenge Sen. Tom Cotton. A later report said a weapon-related incident at her home is under police investigation. The news mostly confirms the matchup rather than changing the race outlook. The race still appears strongly tilted toward Republicans, with Shoffner’s nomination mainly clarifying the matchup. The reported security incident may add attention but does not clearly change the odds.
Articles
PPOLITICO2 days ago
The 'Blacklash' Is Here
Anger at Trump is driving a surge in Black turnout across the South.
ACAsheville Citizen-Times3 days ago
Rock the Vote trades headbangers for head counts | Exclusive
Madonna and MTV made Rock the Vote a cultural sensation. Now, with Congress on the line, can it get a new generation to the polls?
NNewsweek2 months ago
Mary Peltola's Chances of Beating Dan Sullivans in Alaska
The Democrat leads in polls and betting markets, but a second candidate named Dan Sullivan could scramble Alaska's ranked-choice race.
UTUSA TODAY2 months ago
Democrats use faith to challenge red state GOP
Democratic candidates in red states are sharing their faith to connect with voters, sparking intense debates over theology.
PTPittsburgh Tribune-Review3 months ago
Joe Battenfeld: Far-left El-Sayed could haunt Democrats
The narrower than expected victory by the far left Democratic Senate candidate in Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed, could backfire on the party in November. El-Sayed barely staved off the establishment Democrat by less than one percentage point — just 15,000 votes — despite polls which showed him leading by double digits.
AOArkansas Online4 months ago
Senate candidate Hallie Shoffner says person showed up at her Little Rock home with a weapon
A candidate for the U.S. Senate said Tuesday that someone showed up at her home unannounced during the weekend with a weapon looking for a member of her campaign team.
ATArkansas Times8 months ago
Shoffner, Cotton win primaries for U.S. Senate
To the surprise of absolutely no one, Hallie Shoffner and Tom Cotton will face off for U.S. Senate in November.
AOArkansas Online8 months ago
Shoffner to challenge Cotton for U.S. Senate seat
Sixth-generation farmer Hallie Shoffner won Arkansas’ Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate on Tuesday, propelling the first-time political candidate to a November matchup against two-term Republican incumbent Tom Cotton.
BBenzinga8 months ago
Texas Democratic Primary Too Close To Call As Voter Confusion Sparks Lawsuit Threat; Republicans Headed To A Runoff
Midterm primary election voting closes, with closely contested races in Texas for both Democrats and Republicans front.
IBInternational Business Times8 months ago
Texas Senate Primary 2026: Cornyn and Paxton Head to Runoff, Talarico Wins Democratic Nod in High-Stakes Races
AUSTIN, Texas — Incumbent U.S. Sen. John Cornyn narrowly edged Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate on March 3, 2026, setting up a bruising May 26 runoff, while
Related Races
Saved Kalshi settlement results
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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)
No verified final result is available for this race.
Democratic party
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Arkansas?
Settlement pending
Republican party
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Arkansas?
Settlement pending