State Lean
Lean Republican
Not a core swing state
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 Alaska Governor Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
Alaska Governor winner? (Party)
$278.3K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
D. party
90.0%
R. party
12.0%
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$278.3K
24h volume
$28.6K
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
Alaska · Governor
Lean RepublicanOpen seatNot a core swing state
Primary System
Party primary or state-specific
No primary runoff
Election Rules
Primary Aug 18, 2026
Runoff: No
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · National Governors Association, Gubernatorial Elections · NCSL · Vote.org · Manual editorial review
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
Early count results in Alaska’s governor race show two Democrats and two Republicans in the lead, but the ballot is not final yet. More ballots still need to be counted, and late dropouts could change who advances to November. The market should treat the general-election field as unsettled for now. The news keeps the race uncertain because the November ballot lineup is still fluid. It does not yet clearly favor either party.
Articles
SSlate2 days ago
This Wasn’t Supposed to Be Senate Democrats’ Year. Here’s What Changed.
The party is in the midst of a remarkable comeback—mostly thanks to one man.
ADAnchorage Daily News22 hours ago
Alaskans are preparing for a high-stakes Election Day on Tuesday. Here’s what to know.
Polls will be open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. on Election Day. While early results will start rolling in Tuesday night, the final outcome for more competitive races might not be known until ranked choice tabulation takes place Nov. 18.
UNU.S. News & World Report2 days ago
The Latest: Democrat Who Lost Michigan Senate Primary Backs Republican in General Election Contest
Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed’s former opponent in the U.S. Senate primary, Haley Stevens, stunned party officials on Sunday by endorsing Republican Mike Rogers in the general election contest after Democratic tensions boiled over. The move came after Stevens was uninvited to a joint event the same day with El-Sayed as he campaigned for the Michigan seat. The outcome could help determine the balance of power on Capitol Hill.
CNCable News Network2 days ago
CNN’s 11 Senate seats most likely to flip, the day before the midterms
On the eve of the election, Democrats appear within striking distance of winning the Senate majority, but many seats in play are in toss-up territory in deep-red states that could still break in either party’s direction.
ADAnchorage Daily News2 days ago
Hilcorp owner donates to governor candidate Bernadette Wilson in final week of campaigning
Wilson and the other two Republicans in the race have opposed the possibility of expanding Alaska’s corporate income tax to apply to companies like Hilcorp that don’t currently pay it.
NYNew York Post3 days ago
Alaska vote could freeze count as ballots come in by plane
In a nightmare scenario, control of the US Senate could hinge on Alaska, where remote communities, late-arriving mail ballots, ranked-choice voting and a legal fight could leave the outcome unresolved for days or weeks.
NNorthjersey.Com4 days ago
Who do latest polls show winning 2026 midterms? See odds, forecasts
Who's winning the 2026 midterms? See the latest polls, odds and forecasts as Trump cancels rallies days before Election Day.
CTChicago Tribune3 days ago
Attorneys for Alaska say Trump demand to set aside ballots not possible
Alaska’s Republican-run state government on Saturday urged a federal judge to dismiss a lawsuit filed at President Donald Trump’s direction to stop the certification of a possible Democratic win in that state’s pivotal U.S. Senate race, writing that there is “no reason for this Court to entertain this meritless lawsuit any longer.”
SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat3 days ago
Attorneys for Alaska say ‘meritless’ Trump demand to set aside Senate ballots ‘not even possible’
By NICHOLAS RICCARDI and BECKY BOHRER ANCHORAGE, Alaska (AP) — Alaska’s Republican-run state government on Saturday urged a federal judge to dismiss a lawsuit filed at President Donald Trump’s direction to stop the certification of a possible Democratic win in that state’s pivotal U.S. Senate race, writing that there is “no reason for this Court […]
TWThe Washington Post3 days ago
Democratic official says she won’t vote for Iowa Senate candidate over trans ad
Iowa Democratic Senate candidate Josh Turek faces criticism after ad opposing "taxpayers paying for sex changes."
Latest Polls
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
29.3%
22.8%
16.4%
14.7%
11.5%
8.2%
7.5%
5%
T. Begich
B. Wilson
N. Dahlstrom
D. Bronson
C. Bishop
S. Hughes
T. Taylor
A. Crum
E. DeVries
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
Alaska Governor winner? (Party)
No verified final result is available for this race.
Democratic party
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Alaska
Settlement pending
Republican party
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Alaska
Settlement pending