Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47.8%
44.9%
M. Peltola
D. Sullivan
S. Hill
A. Diener
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$251.4K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Total volume
$251.4K
24h volume
$181
source: Kalshi
New reports highlight heavy early money in Alaska’s 2026 Senate race, with Mary Peltola posting strong fundraising and Dan Sullivan reporting a larger cash-on-hand total. A national race roundup still rates Alaska as leaning Republican and notes a $15M Senate Leadership Fund ad investment backing Sullivan. The fundraising and outside spending signal a serious, well-funded contest, which could add uncertainty. But the “leaning Republican” rating and major pro-Sullivan spend may support GOP odds.
Democrats worry nominees like Graham Platner in Maine could jeopardize winnable Senate races, even as the party eyes a favorable 2026 map.
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The unpopular war with Iran and stubborn affordability issues have given Democrats cause to be more hopeful about their chances of flipping key seats — and maybe even winning control of the Senate.
Henry Olsen, who correctly predicted Trump would win the popular vote, is warning Republicans safe Senate seats may be at risk.
A more limited landscape for Democratic gains and an unshakable MAGA base both put limits on Republican midterm losses despite all the problems facing that party and an unpopular president.
Schumer-backed Senate recruits are being out raised by progressive primary challengers across major 2026 battlegrounds.
In the Senate race, Mary Peltola raised close to $9 million in funds, but has less cash on hand than Dan Sullivan.
A Republican super PAC is warning that the GOP is at risk of losing its Senate majority in the 2026 midterm elections.
Democrats including James Talarico, Jon Ossoff, Roy Cooper, Mary Peltola, and Sherrod Brown posted strong early Senate fundraising across key 2026 races.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
