$305.3K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$305.3K
24h volume
$69
source: Kalshi
A new AP report says Alaska officials ruled the Republican challenger named Dan Sullivan ineligible for the August primary ballot, which could remove a voter-confusion storyline and slightly reduce uncertainty in the GOP primary field.
Alaska election officials have blocked Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. from the August primary ballot, though he can still appeal before ballots are printed. At the same time, Alaska’s Senate race has been moved to toss-up territory, keeping the contest highly competitive heading into the primary. The ballot dispute adds uncertainty and could affect the field, but it does not yet clearly favor either party. The toss-up rating suggests the market is treating Alaska as more competitive than before.
JUNEAU, Alaska (AP) — A top Alaska elections official on Monday ruled that a U.S. Senate candidate with the same name and party affiliation as Republican…
Alaska election official disqualified a same-name Republican challenger to Sen. Dan Sullivan, ruling the candidacy was designed to confuse voters.
Graham Platner and Susan Collins are spending millions going after one another 5 months before one of the most critical elections in the country.
ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
Sen. John Cornyn will support the “Republican ticket” in November, but he still believes Attorney General Ken Paxton is a crook who is unfit for office.
A trio of midterm Senate races were shifted in favor of Democrats Thursday by a top election handicapper, but Republicans are still favored to maintain control of the upper chamber.
Republicans hold a 53–47 Senate edge; Democrats must flip four seats, while the GOP needs just one key win to keep control.
Decision day in Senate Republican runoff between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, ending one of the state's nastiest campaigns.
“His disloyalty to the man who got him elected is now a part of legend, and it’s nice to see that his political career is OVER!”
Graham Platner's primary victory sets up a high-stakes contest between an insurgent progressive with political baggage and a battle-tested but vulnerable Republican senator.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
