$984.82
NOV 4, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 4:28 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 74% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% | |
| 1% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Sheldon Neeley and Tonya Burns are the finalists for Flint mayor after the Aug. 4 primary. Neeley finished first by a wide margin and is seeking a third term. Flint also announced it has no active lead service lines left after completing inspections. Neeley’s strong primary finish gives him an early edge, but the race remains open heading into the general election. The water-line update is positive context for city leadership, though its direct effect on the market is unclear.
We need both candidates to be bolder, more creative, more convincing, and to tell us things we haven’t heard before.
Thomas J. Smith's lead exceeds the estimated number of remaining ballots, leaving Amir Hassan with no path to victory.
If reelected to the position, Neeley would make history as the first mayor to serve a third term since the late Woodrow Stanley.
A couple of open seats, a tossup district in mid-Michigan and a Democratic challenge in Detroit round out the list of Aug. 4 primary contests.
Learn more about these stories and other Flint-area news with these local headlines from the past week.
Who won, what passed and who's headed to November? Here's everything you need to know about Genesee County's Aug. 4 primary election results.
ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
Democrats will choose between Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson and Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson.
Residents will narrow down the candidates to lead the city for the next four years in the primary election for Flint mayor and Flint City Council on Aug. 4.
Genesee County voters in some areas will have few, if any, candidate choices in the primary election on Aug. 4, but will decide the fate of four countywide millage requests and multiple local property tax proposals.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
S. NeeleySheldon NeeleySource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
