$30.9K
NOV 4, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Oct 3, 2026, 5:58 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds |
|---|---|
| 89% | |
| 11% | |
| 3% | |
| 3% | |
| 3% | |
| 2% | |
| 2% |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Charlie Crist is being described as headed for a strong showing in the St. Petersburg mayoral election. The key question now is whether he can win outright with more than 50% and avoid a November runoff. Florida’s gubernatorial primary is also now set, but it does not directly affect this race. The Crist news points to stronger support for him, which could improve his odds if he can avoid a runoff. The governor primary results are likely unrelated to this mayoral market.
Florida voters cast ballots Tuesday for Republican and Democratic nominees for governor, U.S. Senate and several congressional races. The primaries will define a midterm ballot set to test President...
November's election will test President Donald Trump’s grip on his adopted state and Democrats’ ability to resurrect Florida as a national political battleground.
FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. (AP) — A Republican attempting to become Florida's first Black governor faces a crowded field Tuesday while Democrats wage primary battles…
House Speaker Mike Johnson wants a Republican to join the U.S. House from Maine. He shouldn’t get one.
US Rep Byron Donalds wins GOP nod for governor and former Rep. David Jolly the Democratic nomination
Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Alex Vindman, Cory Mills and Ashley Moody are also on GOP and Democratic ballots.
Florida TODAY statewide newsletter delivers a mix of news, culture and classic "only in Florida" moments.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
