$36.6K
JUN 2, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Jul 10, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 99% | $1.49M | |
| 3% | — | |
| 1% | — | |
| 1% | — | |
| 1% | $1.83M | |
| 1% | — | |
| 1% | — |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
James Gallagher won the June special election in California's 1st District and is now running in the redrawn seat against Mike McGuire. He also rolled out an anti-gerrymandering bill as the Prop. 50 redistricting fight continues. A website change that removed a Trump endorsement reference has drawn criticism but is less clearly market-moving. Gallagher’s special-election win and active campaign keep him a central contender, but the redistricting fight adds some uncertainty. The Trump-endorsement flap may have limited market impact unless it shifts broader support.
In a race to win California’s 1st Congressional District on Nov. 3, current Rep. James Gallagher (R-Yuba City) appears to have removed references to the Republican president's endorsement on his campaign website.
The other three of Utah’s four congressional seats are considered safely Republican.
Press Democrat readers comment on the proposed fire-victims bill, volunteering at local schools and more.
Democrats have high hopes in the five districts redrawn last year under Proposition 50. But they haven't had it all their own way.
California Assemblyman James Gallagher won the special election to replace the late Rep. Doug LaMalfa, who died earlier this year at age 65.
Several key primary races, including California’s governor, remain uncalled, CBS News veteran correspondent Scott Pelley is sacked and Republicans get a boost with Alabama’s congressional map.
CA-38 represents portions of Los Angeles and Orange counties, including Montebello, El Monte, Baldwin Park, Diamond Bar, La Habra Heights and Yorba Linda.
From searching for solutions to predatory wolves to defending his role in the controversial Point Reyes settlement, Huffman is toiling to earn an 8th term in Congress, representing a revamped district.
Gallagher has been a vocal critic of the redrawn California's First Congressional District, and said Thursday that states should attempt to keep communities of interest whole, against political pressures, and that "no one knows this better than us in the north state."
Amish Shah has won the Democratic primary for an open congressional seat in Arizona. His win marks another defeat for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which supported Marlene Galán-Woods.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. McGuireMike McGuire
J. GallagherJames GallagherSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
