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NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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source: Kalshi
Derek Tran finished first in the California 45th District primary and advanced to the general election. Republican Chuong Vo also advanced, setting up a Tran-Vo November race. Earlier early returns had Tran well ahead of the Republican field, suggesting a Democratic edge going into the fall. Tran's primary finish and early lead point to a Democratic advantage, but the general-election matchup is now set and still leaves room for movement. The market likely leans Democratic, with some uncertainty from the Republican field.
Republicans Chuong Vo and Ritesh Tandon secured spots on the November ballot and will challenge incumbent Democrats in California's 45th and 17th Congressional Districts.
9:35 p.m. update: Chuong V. Vo and Chi "Charlie" Nguyen were in a close fight for the second spot. CA-45 represents portions of Los Angeles and Orange counties.
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California voters face a crowded ballot with 61 names during Tuesday's primary to replace outgoing Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
