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2026 California House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

Name: 2026 California House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Election Day: Nov 3, 2026Market closes: Nov 6, 11:59pm ET (Nov 7, 4:59am UTC)

CA-45 House winner?

$41.6K

NOV 3, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated Sep 10, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Funds raised
Derek Tran	91%	$4.98M
Chuong Vo	9%	$495.8K

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Sep 10, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$41.6K

24h volume

D. Tran91%

C. Vo9%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

California 2026 general election

November

FRI 6

Prediction market closes

Latest Race Updates

Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.

CA-45 House winner?

Derek Tran's odds are down 5.0 points and are now at 88% over a 3-day streak.

88%5%

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Derek Tran led the California 45th District primary and moved on to the general election, where he will face Republican Chuong Vo. Early returns had already shown Tran ahead of the Republican field, reinforcing the Democratic advantage in the race. The latest material still points to a Democratic edge, with Tran leading the primary and advancing as the incumbent. The general-election matchup is set, but the provided news does not show a major shift in uncertainty.

Articles

CNCable News Network3 days ago

Far-left Democrats had a huge summer. Now they have big demands for party leaders

The left wing of the Democratic Party flourished this summer as fed-up liberals in key races across the country have eschewed traditional, more moderate candidates in favor of hard-charging progressives.

SSSpokane Spokesman-Review2 days ago

Union workers at L.A. Labor Day rally sound alarm over automation, job losses, affordability

LOS ANGELES — Thousands of union workers, their family members and supporters marched through the streets of industrial Wilmington on Monday, taking part in a Labor Day parade whose festive mood overshadowed their serious concerns about the future. Jesse Munoz, a 63-year-old longshoreman, who belongs to International Longshore and Warehouse Union Local 13, talked of how automation has ...

SLSt. Louis Post-Dispatch5 days ago

Mo. officials ask US Supreme Court to back GOP congressional map

The appeal follows Missouri Supreme Court ruling tossing the revised map passed by the state Legislature last year at President Donald Trump's request.

PNPBS News2 days ago

Armed man charged toward Democratic candidate for Ohio governor at fair, law enforcement says

The Ohio State Highway Patrol says an armed assailant charged toward the Democratic candidate for Ohio governor, Amy Acton, during a campaign stop at the Canfield Fair, injuring several people before he was stopped by troopers.

FNFox News6 days ago

James Talarico’s attack on capitalism exposes the Democrats’ socialist turn

James Talarico, the Texas Senate Democrat nominee, is shown on video calling capitalism an 'oppressive system' linked to White supremacy that must be dismantled.

WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit29 days ago

The Latest: Trump says he was taken off Air Force One last month due to threat

President Donald Trump says he slipped away from Air Force One after a trip last month in Turkey because the Secret Service and military wanted him on a “different plane” due to a threat he insisted didn’t scare him.

NYNew York Post3 months ago

Two more California races called — and Republicans are on the ballot

Republicans Chuong Vo and Ritesh Tandon secured spots on the November ballot and will challenge incumbent Democrats in California's 45th and 17th Congressional Districts.

SASanta Ana Orange County Register3 months ago

2026 Election Results: In CA-45, D-Derek Tran leads big against 5 challengers

9:35 p.m. update: Chuong V. Vo and Chi "Charlie" Nguyen were in a close fight for the second spot. CA-45 represents portions of Los Angeles and Orange counties.

VCVentura County Star4 months ago

Meet the candidates for the 24th Congressional District

Four candidates compete to advance in the race to represent the 24th Congressional District.

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jun 30, 2026

$5M

$3.8M

$2.5M

$1.3M

D. Tran

C. Vo

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

D. TranDerek Tran

$4.98MContrib: $4.69M

$3.26MSpent: $2.05M

$114.0KLast period: $721.0K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

C. VoChuong Vo

$495.8KContrib: $485.8K

$74.9KSpent: $420.9K

$23.4KLast period: $79.8K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Polls
Endorsements

2026 California House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates

CA-45 House winner?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

CA-45 House winner?

Latest Election News

Far-left Democrats had a huge summer. Now they have big demands for party leaders

Union workers at L.A. Labor Day rally sound alarm over automation, job losses, affordability

Mo. officials ask US Supreme Court to back GOP congressional map

Armed man charged toward Democratic candidate for Ohio governor at fair, law enforcement says

James Talarico’s attack on capitalism exposes the Democrats’ socialist turn

The Latest: Trump says he was taken off Air Force One last month due to threat

Two more California races called — and Republicans are on the ballot

2026 Election Results: In CA-45, D-Derek Tran leads big against 5 challengers

Meet the candidates for the 24th Congressional District

Campaign Fundraising

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Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Race Updates

CA-45 House winner?

Latest Election News

Far-left Democrats had a huge summer. Now they have big demands for party leaders

Union workers at L.A. Labor Day rally sound alarm over automation, job losses, affordability

Mo. officials ask US Supreme Court to back GOP congressional map

Armed man charged toward Democratic candidate for Ohio governor at fair, law enforcement says

James Talarico’s attack on capitalism exposes the Democrats’ socialist turn

The Latest: Trump says he was taken off Air Force One last month due to threat

Two more California races called — and Republicans are on the ballot

2026 Election Results: In CA-45, D-Derek Tran leads big against 5 challengers

Meet the candidates for the 24th Congressional District

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

California Governor winner? (Person)

California Governor winner?

CA-11 House winner?