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Who will win the 2026 Florida District 19 US House Republican Primary?

Aug 19, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 47 daysLast updated: Jul 3, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC

FL-19 Republican nominee?

$22.5K

AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$22.5K

24h volume

$299

J. Schwartzel35%

C. Lauf33%

J. Oberweis25%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

News

AINews Summary

John Strand says he was left out of a Florida GOP debate in the FL-19 Republican primary, despite qualifying for the ballot. His campaign is using endorsements and fundraising to argue he remains competitive. Separately, Florida’s redistricting push could reshape the broader House landscape, but its impact on this nomination is unclear. The debate dispute may slightly hurt Strand’s visibility, but it does not change ballot access or the nominee race itself. The redistricting fight could matter more broadly, but its effect on this nomination is still unclear.

Articles

TGThe Gateway Pundit7 days ago

Outrageous! Popular Historic Voter Petition Candidate John Strand Gets Shut Out of Debate Stage in FL

With a crowded Republican primary underway in Florida's 19th Congressional District, one popular ballot-qualified candidate says he's being denied the…

NNNBC News1 month ago

What to watch in Tuesday’s Texas primaries

Tuesday’s primary runoffs in Texas will put President Donald Trump’s endorsement to the test again — the latest step in a mission to punish some incumbent Republicans Trump has deemed insufficiently loyal

REReading Eagle2 months ago

Supreme Court ruling fuels new push to defend Black representation

A new generation of civil rights leaders is rallying against efforts to dismantle the Voting Rights Act after a Supreme Court ruling.

CNCBS News2 months ago

Supreme Court ruling ushers in a new era of gerrymandering

The Supreme Court has ruled that, under the Voting Rights Act, Congressional districts can no longer be drawn along racial lines, but can be shaped by partisan aims. The result: A dash to re-draw voting districts in several states. What does this portend for democracy?

NDNaples Daily News2 months ago

Florida redistricting session is now. Fair Districts Amendment explained

Florida's Legislature is in a special session to consider Gov. DeSantis's redistricting map, which could turn four US House seats red. Is that legal?

NNews-Press3 months ago

WINK News sues Matt Devitt over firing, WeatherView dispute

WINK News sued former meteorologist Matt Devitt, alleging contract breaches with a side business.

Polls

Polling Average

12%10%8%6%4%2%0%

9.0%

7.3%

5.8%

5.7%

J. Oberweis

J. Schwartzel

C. Collins

M. Cawthorn

C. Lauf

O. Hawatmeh

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Oberweis	Schwartzel	Collins	Cawthorn	Lauf	Hawatmeh
Polling Average	Oberweis+1.7	9.0%	7.3%	5.8%	5.7%	4.9%	0.0%
Victory InsightsJun 20 - 21	Schwartzel+0.9	11.9%	12.8%	3.4%	5.2%	4.9%	0.0%
InquireOct 4 - 6	Collins+1.0	8.0%	5.0%	9.0%	8.0%	–	–
InquireOct 4 - 6	Oberweis+2.0	7.0%	4.0%	5.0%	4.0%	–	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Catalina Lauf

GatorPAC

GatorPAC endorsed Catalina Lauf for U.S. House in Florida's 19th Congressional District.

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Anna Paulina Luna

Anna Paulina Luna endorsed Catalina Lauf for Florida's 19th Congressional District race.

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Anna Paulina Luna

Anna Paulina Luna endorsed Catalina Lauf in her campaign for Florida's open 19th Congressional District seat.

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Senator Jim Banks

Senator Jim Banks endorsed Catalina Lauf for Congress.

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Madison Cawthorn

Johnny Fratto

Johnny Fratto endorsed Madison Cawthorn for Congress in Florida's 19th District.

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Markwayne Mullin

Senator Markwayne Mullin endorsed Madison Cawthorn in his Florida's 19th Congressional District race.

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Bob Rommel

James Uthmeier

James Uthmeier endorsed Bob Rommel for Congress.

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Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jun 30, 2026

$5M

$3.8M

$2.5M

$1.3M

J. Oberweis

C. Collins

J. Schwartzel

C. Lauf

M. Cawthorn

O. Hawatmeh

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

J. OberweisJim Oberweis

$4.36MContrib: $284.0K

$2.96MSpent: $1.40M

$93.1KLast period: $80.0K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

C. CollinsChris Collins

$2.61MContrib: $8.0K

$1.51MSpent: $1.10M

$61.1KLast period: $0

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

J. SchwartzelJim Schwartzel

$1.73MContrib: $729.4K

$1.48MSpent: $258.4K

$17.2KLast period: $278.8K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

C. LaufCatalina Lauf

$974.9KContrib: $931.3K

$390.1KSpent: $584.7K

$39.0KLast period: $474.9K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

M. CawthornMadison Cawthorn

$519.5KContrib: $19.5K

$232.8KSpent: $286.8K

$19.1KLast period: $1.3K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

O. HawatmehOla Hawatmeh

$379.2KContrib: $141.3K

$240.5KSpent: $138.7K

$9.2KLast period: -$40.4K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

Source: FEC

Who will win the 2026 Florida District 19 US House Republican Primary?

FL-19 Republican nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

News

Outrageous! Popular Historic Voter Petition Candidate John Strand Gets Shut Out of Debate Stage in FL

What to watch in Tuesday’s Texas primaries

Supreme Court ruling fuels new push to defend Black representation

Supreme Court ruling ushers in a new era of gerrymandering

Florida redistricting session is now. Fair Districts Amendment explained

WINK News sues Matt Devitt over firing, WeatherView dispute

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

FL-06 Republican nominee?

FL-16 Republican nominee?

Florida Governor winner?

Upcoming Events

News

Outrageous! Popular Historic Voter Petition Candidate John Strand Gets Shut Out of Debate Stage in FL

What to watch in Tuesday’s Texas primaries

Supreme Court ruling fuels new push to defend Black representation

Supreme Court ruling ushers in a new era of gerrymandering

Florida redistricting session is now. Fair Districts Amendment explained

WINK News sues Matt Devitt over firing, WeatherView dispute

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

FL-06 Republican nominee?

FL-16 Republican nominee?

Florida Governor winner?