$14.0K
AUG 19, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Donald Trump backed Madison Cawthorn in the FL-19 Republican nominee race, and Cawthorn is currently at 12%.
Jim Oberweis’s odds in "FL-19 Republican nominee?" rose above the prior high of 7.5% and are now 10%.
Oberweis has raised $4,360,995.58 this cycle, but Catalina Lauf holds the lead in the latest odds for the Florida-19 Republican nomination.
Recent Supreme Court voting-rights rulings have sparked new redistricting fights in Florida and other Southern states. Civil rights groups are mobilizing against changes they say could weaken Black representation. The reports do not describe any candidate-specific movement in this nomination race. Little direct effect on the Republican nomination market is clear from these reports. The main impact is broader redistricting uncertainty, not a specific shift in the nominee race.
A new generation of civil rights leaders is rallying against efforts to dismantle the Voting Rights Act after a Supreme Court ruling.
The Supreme Court has ruled that, under the Voting Rights Act, Congressional districts can no longer be drawn along racial lines, but can be shaped by partisan aims. The result: A dash to re-draw voting districts in several states. What does this portend for democracy?
On Saturday, groups will gather in Alabama to honor the Civil Rights Movement and push for renewed activism after a recent Supreme Court decision weakened the Voting Rights Act.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
J. OberweisJim OberweisJ. SchwartzelJim Schwartzel
C. LaufCatalina LaufC. CollinsChris CollinsM. CawthornMadison Cawthorn
O. HawatmehOla HawatmehSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
