Race Rating
Safe or unrated
Cook/270toWin 2026
Partisan lean: Safe Republican or unrated
ClosedGeneral Election
2026 North Carolina House Election Polls, Odds & Candidates
Election Day: Recorded market close:
NC-10 House winner?
$5.8K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Race Snapshot
Compare the candidates' saved odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Saved odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 94% | $1.08M | |
| 6% | $28.0K |
OddsSaved odds
Prices saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
Odds History
Total volume
$5.8K
24h volume
$100
source: Kalshi
Politics IQ
Structural race context from reviewed jurisdiction data
North Carolina 10th District · US House
Safe or unratedSafe Republican or unratedDistrict contextRunoff possible
Seat Dynamics
Incumbent defense
Incumbent: Pat Harrigan (R)
Election Rules
Primary Mar 3, 2026
Runoff: May 12, 2026
General: Nov 3, 2026
Sources reviewed May 2, 2026 · Office of the Clerk · 270toWin/Cook · 270toWin · NCSL
Election Dates and Deadlines
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Latest Election News
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
AINews Summary
North Carolina’s new congressional map could flip one Democratic House seat and strengthen Republicans statewide. At the same time, broader House polling and fundraising suggest the 2026 midterms remain competitive. The latest Cook rating changes also point to a tighter overall House landscape. The North Carolina redistricting news appears to help Republicans in this district by making the seat more favorable on paper. Broader House polling and fundraising trends still point to a competitive environment, so uncertainty remains.
Articles
TPThe Philadelphia Inquirer12 hours ago
On election night, here are the key races to watch and when polls close
Initial election results throughout Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning will say a great deal about which party prevails in the midterms.
UTUSA TODAY14 hours ago
Democrats poised for midterm gains, but how big?
In addition to expected wins in traditional battlegrounds, the Democrats hope their wave will wash over reliably Republican states. But are the polls right?
PPOLITICO6 months ago
GOP polls show they have a shot at flipping House Dem districts Trump won
The GOP’s House campaign arm shared five new battleground polls with POLITICO, its first publicly released surveys this cycle.
NNNBC News2 months ago
Trump administration live updates: Fed to decide whether to raise interest rates
Live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as the Federal Reserve is expected to decide whether to raise interest rates.
WEWashington Examiner3 months ago
Medicaid battle intensifies
Sen. Mike Crapo reveals the behind-the-scenes battle over Medicaid reforms in getting Republicans to pass the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.
NNewsweek4 months ago
Democrats Launch Centrist Group as Trump Attacks Socialists, Communists
“We are capitalist, not socialist,” a group of 15 Democrats wrote after signing a pledge onto a new centrist initiative.
DQDavenport Quad-City Times5 months ago
Trump's attack on dissenters could impact midterms
Trump may be as unpopular as he's ever been among the American electorate — but his grip on his core base of MAGA voters remains unshaken.
NYNew York Post6 months ago
Redistricting after SCOTUS decision could give GOP edge in midterms
Redistricting across the US has turned into all-out war between the Democrats and Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterm elections in November — but the GOP is potentially poised to flip more than a dozen seats.
TMThe Mercury News6 months ago
Tennessee lawmakers pass House map carving up majority-Black district
Tennessee lawmakers have passed a new U.S. House map that carves up a majority-Black district in Memphis. The new voting districts approved Thursday could give Republicans a chance to win all nine of the state’s congressional seats in the November midterm elections.
NYNew York Magazine7 months ago
Just How Badly Could Republicans Lose the Midterms?
A more limited landscape for Democratic gains and an unshakable MAGA base both put limits on Republican midterm losses despite all the problems facing that party and an unpopular president.
Campaign Fundraising
Total RaisedCash on Hand
Jun 30, 2026$2M
$1.5M
$1M
$500K
$0
P. Harrigan
A. Bell
Candidate
Total Raised
Cash on Hand
Burn Rate (per month)
Last report
P. HarriganPat Harrigan$1.08MContrib: $978.5K
$451.3KSpent: $683.4K
$38.0KLast period: $103.2K
JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026
A. BellAshley Bell$28.0KContrib: $17.7K
$5.7KSpent: $24.3K
$1.6KLast period: $7.5K
APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026
Source: FEC
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
NC-10 House winner?
No verified final result is available for this race.
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-10?
Settlement pending
Will Republican win the House race for NC-10?
Settlement pending