$509.90
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$510
24h volume
$1
source: Kalshi
North Carolina’s new congressional map could flip one Democratic seat and strengthen Republicans’ position in the state. Broader House updates also show Republicans losing ground in some key districts, which adds some uncertainty to the overall outlook. The new map appears to improve Republican prospects in this district, though broader House polling has been more mixed. That likely keeps the market tilted toward Republicans but with some uncertainty.
The GOP’s House campaign arm shared five new battleground polls with POLITICO, its first publicly released surveys this cycle.
Tennessee lawmakers have passed a new U.S. House map that carves up a majority-Black district in Memphis. The new voting districts approved Thursday could give Republicans a chance to win all nine of the state’s congressional seats in the November midterm elections.
Redistricting across the US has turned into all-out war between the Democrats and Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterm elections in November — but the GOP is potentially poised to flip more than a dozen seats.
Donald Trump's approval rating is underwater in six districts he won in 2024, according to new GOP-commissioned polls.
The National Republican Congressional Committee, House Republicans' campaign arm, is touting a record-breaking fundraising haul to start the 2026 midterm cycle, the committee chairman told CBS News.
A more limited landscape for Democratic gains and an unshakable MAGA base both put limits on Republican midterm losses despite all the problems facing that party and an unpopular president.
Republican lawmakers in Tennessee approved a new U.S. House map Thursday that carves up a majority-Black district in Memphis, reshaping it to the GOP’s advantage as part of President Donald Trump’s strategy to hold on to a slim majority in the November midterm elections.
Several seats thought to be safe for Republicans shifted toward competitiveness in new Sabato’s Crystal Ball midterm ratings.
The results of Tuesday's referendum could reshape the midterms this November
The Constitution requires redistricting after each census, but doesn’t dictate how the districts are to be drawn. This leaves room for corruption.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.