$32.7K
JUN 2, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Jul 10, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Poll average | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99% | 36.5% | $6.14M | |
| 1% | — | — | |
| 1% | — | $34.1K | |
| 1% | — | $276.3K | |
| 1% | 43.5% | $2.94M | |
| 1% | 38.3% | $8.84M | |
| 1% | — | $277.6K | |
| 1% | — | $519.0K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Ken Calvert is ahead in the California 40th District primary as votes continue to be counted. Young Kim is currently second, with Esther Kim-Varet in third. Because California uses a top-two system, the final order still matters for November advancement. Calvert’s lead makes him look better positioned to finish first, but the race is still being counted. The top-two setup keeps uncertainty around the final order until more votes are reported.
California’s congressional primaries on Tuesday are a preliminary test of Democrats’ best chance at countering Republican redistricting gains elsewhere this year.
California Democrats persuaded voters to let them redraw the state’s congressional map so the party could potentially gain five seats in the U.S. House to counter GOP redistricting in Texas. Tuesday’s primary will be the first indication of whether that will pay off.
Two endangered Republican incumbents will face off in a fight for political survival in the June 2 primary in California's 40th Congressional District.
Republican Young Kim and Republican Ken Calvert are facing off to keep representing California's newly drawn 40th Congressional District. Here's what you need to know about the race.
President Donald Trump, without evidence, is accusing Democrats of trying to "steal" the California gubernatorial and L.A. mayoral primaries.
Democrats have high hopes in the five districts redrawn last year under Proposition 50. But they haven't had it all their own way.
Both are currently Republicans in Congress, but Democrats lumped them into a newly redrawn district and made them run against each other.
With so many key races expected to be tight, officials are warning it could takes days to know the outcome of California's primary election. Here are some important things to watch as the results roll in.
With control of Congress on the line, the stakes may never have been higher in the newly-redrawn 48th Congressional District.
A vicious U.S. House primary is playing out as two Republican incumbents wedged into the same district are fighting over their MAGA bona fides.
Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jan 14, 2026 and Sep 9, 2026.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
Y. KimYoung KimK. CalvertKen CalvertE. VaretEsther Kim Varet
L. RamirezLisa Ramirez
N. LinhNina Linh
J. KerrJoe Kerr
C. KeissiehClaude KeissiehSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
