$158.2K
AUG 19, 2026
Candidate standings
Live market pricing for the leading candidates in this election.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 10, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| Aisha WahabDemocratic | 85% | — |
| Melissa HernandezDemocratic | 17% | $635.0K |
| Rakhi Israni SinghDemocratic | 4% | — |
| Victor Aguilar Jr. | 2% | — |
| Matt OrtegaDemocratic | 1% | $38.4K |
| Carin ElamDemocratic | 1% | $32.7K |
| Wendy HuangRepublican | 1% | $41.0K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez advanced to the August special general election for California’s 14th Congressional District. The district is heavily Democratic, and the winner will serve the remainder of Eric Swalwell’s term. Early vote results had Wahab ahead, with Hernandez second, and no candidate won outright in the June 16 special primary. The latest reporting keeps the race centered on two Democrats in a heavily Democratic district, which likely reinforces confidence that the seat stays Democratic. Wahab’s early lead may give her a modest edge, but the overall market should remain fairly concentrated.
Democratic candidates in California have secured the two slots in a special general election to serve out the remainder of former U.S. Rep. Eric Swalwell’s term.
California State Sen. Aisha Wahab takes an early lead in the race to replace ex-congressman Eric Swalwell in CA's 14th Congressional District.
Swalwell resigned his seat on Tuesday morning amid sexual assault allegations.
Get live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as Ex-Mike Pence aide Olivia Troye announces a run for Congress as a Democrat and Rep. Eric Swalwell says he will resign from Congress amid sexual assault allegations.
Gov. Gavin Newsom scored a three-point political play last year when the Legislature and voters approved a mid-decade reconfiguration of the state’s 52 congressional districts. The gerrymander aimed to shift […]
The state senator will go on to the Aug. 18 special general election, which will determine who will fill the remainder of Swalwell’s term through January.
An endorsement from President Donald Trump is worth a lot in Republican primaries.
The special election on June 16 is to fill the remainder of the vacant term, with nearly a dozen people running.
Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.
Indivisible California
Indivisible California endorsed Aisha Wahab for California's 14th Congressional District special election.
The Independent
The Independent endorsed Aisha Wahab for Congress in California's 14th District.
State Senator Sabrina Cervantes
State Senator Sabrina Cervantes endorsed Aisha Wahab for Congress.
Alameda County Democratic Party
Alameda County Democratic Party endorsed Aisha Wahab for Congress in CA-14.
Mercury News editorial board
Mercury News endorsed Aisha Wahab for Congress in California's 14th District.
Our Revolution
Our Revolution endorsed Aisha Wahab for Congress in California's 14th District.
Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC
Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC endorsed Aisha Wahab for Congress in California's 14th District.
Courage California
Courage California endorsed Aisha Wahab for Congress in California's 14th District.
National Nurses United
National Nurses United endorsed Aisha Wahab for California's 14th Congressional District.
Alameda County Firefighters International Association of Fire Fighters
Alameda County Firefighters International Association of Fire Fighters endorsed Melissa Hernandez.
San Francisco Chronicle
San Francisco Chronicle editorial board endorsed Melissa Hernandez for the California 14th District special election.
Elect Democratic Women
Elect Democratic Women endorsed Melissa Hernandez for California's 14th Congressional District.
Bold PAC
CHC BOLD PAC endorsed Melissa Hernandez for Congress in California's 14th Congressional District.
Sunil Varghese
Sunil Varghese endorsed Rakhi Israni for California's 14th Congressional District.
Bob Wieckowski
Bob Wieckowski endorsed Victor Aguilar Jr. for the 2026 CA-14 special election.
East Bay Express
East Bay Express endorsed Matt Ortega for Congress in California's 14th District.
Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association PAC
Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association PAC endorsed Wendy Huang for Congress in CA-14.
Silicon Valley Chinese Association
Silicon Valley Chinese Association endorsed Wendy Huang for CA-14.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. HernandezMelissa Hernandez
W. HuangWendy Huang
M. OrtegaMatt Ortega
C. ElamCarin ElamSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
