$170.1K
AUG 19, 2026
Candidate standings
Live market pricing for the leading candidates in this election.
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Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 18, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC.
source: Kalshi
Compare the candidates' live odds and fundraising. Updated .
| Candidate | Live odds | Funds raised |
|---|---|---|
| 88% | — | |
| 16% | $1.53M | |
| 4% | — | |
| 2% | — | |
| 1% | $38.4K | |
| 1% | $32.7K | |
| 1% | $41.0K |
Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.
Key developments affecting the candidates, polls and prediction market odds.
AP says Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez are the finalists in California’s 14th District special election, confirming the race’s late-stage matchup and keeping attention on whether Hernandez can narrow Wahab’s clear early edge.
Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.
Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez advanced to the August special general election for California’s 14th Congressional District. The district is heavily Democratic, and the winner will serve the remainder of Eric Swalwell’s term. Early vote results had Wahab ahead, with Hernandez second, and no candidate won outright in the June 16 special primary. The latest reporting keeps the race centered on two Democrats in a heavily Democratic district, which likely reinforces confidence that the seat stays Democratic. Wahab’s early lead may give her a modest edge, but the overall market should remain fairly concentrated.
The plaintiffs have framed the case as a major effort to address what they say are harmful effects of addictive products designed to capture users' attention by, among other tactics, collecting...
Two candidates will face off Tuesday in a special election in Alameda County to fill the congressional seat vacated by Eric Swalwell.
Democratic candidates in California have secured the two slots in a special general election to serve out the remainder of former U.S. Rep. Eric Swalwell’s term.
California State Sen. Aisha Wahab takes an early lead in the race to replace ex-congressman Eric Swalwell in CA's 14th Congressional District.
Swalwell resigned his seat on Tuesday morning amid sexual assault allegations.
Get live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as Ex-Mike Pence aide Olivia Troye announces a run for Congress as a Democrat and Rep. Eric Swalwell says he will resign from Congress amid sexual assault allegations.
Gov. Gavin Newsom scored a three-point political play last year when the Legislature and voters approved a mid-decade reconfiguration of the state’s 52 congressional districts. The gerrymander aimed to shift […]
The state senator will go on to the Aug. 18 special general election, which will determine who will fill the remainder of Swalwell’s term through January.
Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.
M. HernandezMelissa Hernandez
W. HuangWendy Huang
M. OrtegaMatt Ortega
C. ElamCarin ElamSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
