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2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Results

Name: 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Results — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Primary Day: Aug 4, 2026Market closes: Aug 4, 11:59pm ET (Aug 5, 3:59am UTC)

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

$30.4M

AUG 4, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Aug 5, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Abdul El-Sayed	100%	51.6%	$14.51M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 5, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$30.4M

24h volume

$20.9M

A. El-Sayed100%

M. McMorrow0%

S. Anthony0%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Michigan 2026 general election

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Abdul El-Sayed is under renewed scrutiny over Hasan Piker ties and past 9/11-related comments, with Republicans and outside groups using the issue in attacks. A separate report highlighted a 2007 protest he helped lead. Meanwhile, a Trump-linked PAC is spending heavily against Democratic Senate candidates, including El-Sayed. The backlash could add some short-term noise around El-Sayed, but the summaries do not show a change in the nomination contest. The outside spending is a broader headwind for Democrats, though its effect on this specific nominee market is unclear.

Articles

TGThe Gateway Pundit1 day ago

“Experimental Polling” - ANOTHER Fake Poll Exposed Covering NUMEROUS Elections- FCC’s Brendan Carr Issues Warning to Broadcasters

Last August, the LA Times uncovered a "short term social experiment" allegedly intended to determine how unverified information could be distributed to the…

WWJLA1 day ago

Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers talk policy, lob attacks in final Michigan US Senate debate

The debate stuck to those kitchen table issues, and others like health care, education, Social Security and artificial intelligence.

LSLansing State Journal2 days ago

Mike Rogers, Abdul El-Sayed clash in final Michigan US Senate debate

Abdul El-Sayed encouraged TV viewers to play "MAGA bingo." Mike Rogers said the bingo game should be based on how many times El-Sayed said "Trump."

BNBreitbart News Network2 days ago

Sayed and Rogers question each other's loyalties

Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers traded sharp attacks in their final Michigan Senate debate. WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Abdul

UNU.S. News & World Report2 days ago

In Final Michigan Senate Debate, El-Sayed and Rogers Question Each Other's Loyalties

WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers clashed in their final Senate debate Wednesday, with El-Sayed trying to tie his opponent to President Donald Trump and Rogers saying his rival's progressive policies would be too extreme for Michigan.

MLM Live Michigan 21 hours ago

Bernie Sanders to speak at Ann Arbor town hall at Michigan Theater

U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders will hold multiple Michigan events ahead of November midterm elections, including a Students vs. Billionaires Town Hall in Ann Arbor.

PNPBS News1 day ago

Kansas Sen. Roger Marshall in debate blames Ukraine war, not Iran war, for high diesel prices

The answer, delivered during a debate with Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton, aligned Marshall with President Donald Trump's freshly antagonistic posture toward Ukraine, which has spent more than four years defending itself against an invasion.

HHuffPost1 day ago

Mike Rogers Roasted For Asking El-Sayed To Condemn Terrorism

The Michigan Republican candidate dropped the post in a debate where he questioned El-Sayed’s loyalty to America.

NNewsweek1 day ago

The Blue Wave Is Redder Than We Realize

Democrats could have a strong November while Republicans still survive in unexpected places.

NYNew York Post1 day ago

El-Sayed under fire for once signing letter urging Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood to ‘purge media and police’

Michigan Senate hopeful Abdul El-Sayed once signed a 2012 letter urging the Muslim Brotherhood, and its then-newly crowned President of Egypt, Mohamad Morsi, to "purge" the media and police.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 8, 2026 and Jul 30, 2026.

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

51.6%

39.2%

A. El-Sayed

H. Stevens

Date (Start - End)	Spread	El-Sayed	Stevens
Polling Average	El-Sayed+12.4	51.6%	39.2%
SoCal StrategiesJul 28 - 30	El-Sayed+17.0	56.0%	39.0%
Zenith ResearchJul 26 - 30	El-Sayed+19.0	53.0%	34.0%
Zenith ResearchJul 26 - 30	El-Sayed+18.0	59.0%	41.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJul 28 - 29	El-Sayed+14.0	52.0%	38.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJul 25 - 29	El-Sayed+13.7	49.7%	36.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJul 25 - 29	El-Sayed+8.1	47.6%	39.5%
Emerson CollegeJul 26 - 27	El-Sayed+16.3	57.1%	40.8%
Tavern ResearchJul 26 - 27	El-Sayed+10.0	46.0%	36.0%
Tavern ResearchJul 26 - 27	El-Sayed+11.0	48.0%	37.0%
Tulchin ResearchJul 13 - 15	El-Sayed+16.0	56.0%	40.0%
Data for ProgressJul 10 - 14	El-Sayed+13.0	54.0%	41.0%
Glengariff GroupJul 8 - 11	Stevens+7.0	41.0%	48.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Campaign finance totals for the 2026 cycle, including money raised, spent and cash on hand.

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jul 15, 2026

$20M

$15M

$10M

$5M

A. El-Sayed

H. Stevens

M. McMorrow

K. Rivet

R. Tlaib

A. Levin

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

A. El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed

$14.51MContrib: $14.48M

$2.55MSpent: $11.96M

$629.6KLast period: $2.30M

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026

H. StevensHaley Stevens

$11.88MContrib: $9.92M

$2.79MSpent: $9.09M

$478.5KLast period: $888.4K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026

M. McMorrowMallory McMorrow

$11.39MContrib: $11.21M

$1.87MSpent: $9.52M

$501.0KLast period: $66.8K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026

K. RivetKristen McDonald Rivet

$5.64MContrib: $5.15M

$4.25MSpent: $1.41M

$74.1KLast period: $104.7K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026

R. TlaibRashida Tlaib

$2.76MContrib: $2.35M

$3.43MSpent: $3.59M

$188.7KLast period: $43.0K

PRE-PRIMARY · Jul 15, 2026

A. LevinAndy Levin

$534Contrib: $0

$7.6KSpent: $3.9K

$218Last period: $0

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements

2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Results

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

“Experimental Polling” - ANOTHER Fake Poll Exposed Covering NUMEROUS Elections- FCC’s Brendan Carr Issues Warning to Broadcasters

Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers talk policy, lob attacks in final Michigan US Senate debate

Mike Rogers, Abdul El-Sayed clash in final Michigan US Senate debate

Sayed and Rogers question each other's loyalties

In Final Michigan Senate Debate, El-Sayed and Rogers Question Each Other's Loyalties

Bernie Sanders to speak at Ann Arbor town hall at Michigan Theater

Kansas Sen. Roger Marshall in debate blames Ukraine war, not Iran war, for high diesel prices

Mike Rogers Roasted For Asking El-Sayed To Condemn Terrorism

The Blue Wave Is Redder Than We Realize

El-Sayed under fire for once signing letter urging Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood to ‘purge media and police’

Latest Polls

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

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Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

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Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

“Experimental Polling” - ANOTHER Fake Poll Exposed Covering NUMEROUS Elections- FCC’s Brendan Carr Issues Warning to Broadcasters

Abdul El-Sayed, Mike Rogers talk policy, lob attacks in final Michigan US Senate debate

Mike Rogers, Abdul El-Sayed clash in final Michigan US Senate debate

Sayed and Rogers question each other's loyalties

In Final Michigan Senate Debate, El-Sayed and Rogers Question Each Other's Loyalties

Bernie Sanders to speak at Ann Arbor town hall at Michigan Theater

Kansas Sen. Roger Marshall in debate blames Ukraine war, not Iran war, for high diesel prices

Mike Rogers Roasted For Asking El-Sayed To Condemn Terrorism

The Blue Wave Is Redder Than We Realize

El-Sayed under fire for once signing letter urging Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood to ‘purge media and police’

Latest Polls

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

Michigan Senate winner?

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

Michigan Governor winner?

MI-07 House winner?