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2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Results

Name: 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Results — prediction market odds
Creator: kalshi

Primary Day: Aug 4, 2026Market closes: Aug 4, 11:59pm ET (Aug 5, 3:59am UTC)Last updated: Aug 5, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

$30.4M

AUG 5, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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Race Snapshot

Compare the candidates' live odds, polling averages and fundraising. Updated Aug 5, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.

Candidate	Live odds	Poll average	Funds raised
Abdul El-SayedDemocratic	100%	51.6%	$14.53M
Mallory McMorrowDemocratic	0%	—	$11.39M
Sarah AnthonyDemocratic	0%	—	—
Dana NesselDemocratic	0%	—	—
Kristen McDonald RivetDemocratic	0%	—	$5.64M
Haley StevensDemocratic	0%	39.2%	$11.88M
Andy LevinDemocratic	0%	—	$534
Matt Sahr	0%	—	—
Rashida TlaibDemocratic	0%	—	$2.76M

OddsLive Odds

Prediction market probabilities from Kalshi, updated as market prices change. Last updated Aug 5, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.

Odds History

Total volume

$30.4M

24h volume

$20.9M

A. El-Sayed100%

M. McMorrow0%

S. Anthony0%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Election Dates and Deadlines

Important voting dates, registration deadlines and prediction market closing times.

November

TUE 3

Michigan 2026 general election

Latest Election News

Recent reporting and announcements directly related to this race and its candidates.

AINews Summary

Abdul El-Sayed drew support from AOC and Bernie Sanders in Michigan, while his campaign continues to frame the race around Michigan issues and progressive themes. Haley Stevens still has Sen. Gary Peters’ endorsement and backing from outside groups, keeping the primary tightly contested. The new high-profile support for El-Sayed may strengthen his standing, but Stevens still has establishment backing and outside spending behind her. Overall, the race remains competitive and uncertain.

Articles

CSChicago Sun-Times22 hours ago

El-Sayed has his work cut out between now and November

Democrats' Senate nominee in Michigan and other progressive will have have to quickly reckon with party divisions, starting with trying to lure Black voters.

TDThe Daily Beast23 hours ago

Dem Winner Throws Trump’s Words Back in His Face

“Couldn’t have said it better myself,” Abdul El-Sayed wrote in response to the president’s attack.

CNCable News Network23 hours ago

Abdul El-Sayed’s Republican opponent directly pitches Democrats, hoping to capitalize after divisive primary

Mike Rogers, the Republican nominee for Senate in Michigan, is stepping up his efforts to appeal to Democrats after their party picked progressive Abdul El-Sayed as their standard-bearer in the battleground race.

MLM Live Michigan 2 days ago

Trump calls El-Sayed ‘full of sh**’ as Michigan Senate race shifts to general election

The president called the Democratic nominee "a man of hate" during a Las Vegas speech, while El-Sayed responded by focusing on his policy platform of Medicare for all and getting money out of politics.

PPOLITICO7 hours ago

Pete Buttigieg: Everyone’s ‘watching the state of Michigan right now’

One of the biggest tests of whether the Democratic Party can rebuild their fractured coalition is Michigan's marquee Senate race.

TGThe Gateway Pundit10 hours ago

Hillary Clinton Admits Far-Left Candidates Give the GOP a ‘Very Effective Attack’ Against Democrats (VIDEO)

Former Secretary of State and failed presidential candidate Hillary Clinton said Friday that Republican attacks labeling Democratic candidates and policies as…

TNThe New York Times3 days ago

Where El-Sayed Showed Strengths, and Weaknesses, in the Michigan Primary

Dr. Abdul El-Sayed had a strong showing in college towns, while Representative Haley Stevens did well in Black urban centers.

CNCBS News1 day ago

Michigan Dems launch statewide organizing push to consolidate support after primary

Michigan Democratic Party Chair Curtis Hertel says the party is focused on a big-tent approach, with organizers already in the field ahead of the general election.

WWJLA13 hours ago

El-Sayed win spotlights democratic divide over Israel, Jewish voters

Abdul El-Sayed’s victory in Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary is putting a longstanding divide within the Democratic Party back in the spotlight.

Latest Polls

Polling results and averages based on polls published between Jul 8, 2026 and Jul 30, 2026.

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

51.6%

39.2%

A. El-Sayed

H. Stevens

Date (Start - End)	Spread	El-Sayed	Stevens
Polling Average	El-Sayed+12.4	51.6%	39.2%
SoCal StrategiesJul 28 - 30	El-Sayed+17.0	56.0%	39.0%
Zenith ResearchJul 26 - 30	El-Sayed+19.0	53.0%	34.0%
Zenith ResearchJul 26 - 30	El-Sayed+18.0	59.0%	41.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsJul 28 - 29	El-Sayed+14.0	52.0%	38.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJul 25 - 29	El-Sayed+13.7	49.7%	36.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJul 25 - 29	El-Sayed+8.1	47.6%	39.5%
Emerson CollegeJul 26 - 27	El-Sayed+16.3	57.1%	40.8%
Tavern ResearchJul 26 - 27	El-Sayed+10.0	46.0%	36.0%
Tavern ResearchJul 26 - 27	El-Sayed+11.0	48.0%	37.0%
Tulchin ResearchJul 13 - 15	El-Sayed+16.0	56.0%	40.0%
Data for ProgressJul 10 - 14	El-Sayed+13.0	54.0%	41.0%
Glengariff GroupJul 8 - 11	Stevens+7.0	41.0%	48.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Candidate Endorsements

Notable endorsements from elected officials, organizations and public figures.

Abdul El-Sayed

Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders endorsed Abdul El-Sayed for the 2026 Michigan Senate race.

2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Results

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Race Snapshot

OddsLive Odds

Odds History

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

El-Sayed has his work cut out between now and November

Dem Winner Throws Trump’s Words Back in His Face

Abdul El-Sayed’s Republican opponent directly pitches Democrats, hoping to capitalize after divisive primary

Trump calls El-Sayed ‘full of sh**’ as Michigan Senate race shifts to general election

Pete Buttigieg: Everyone’s ‘watching the state of Michigan right now’

Hillary Clinton Admits Far-Left Candidates Give the GOP a ‘Very Effective Attack’ Against Democrats (VIDEO)

Where El-Sayed Showed Strengths, and Weaknesses, in the Michigan Primary

Michigan Dems launch statewide organizing push to consolidate support after primary

El-Sayed win spotlights democratic divide over Israel, Jewish voters

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

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Race Snapshot

Election Dates and Deadlines

Latest Election News

El-Sayed has his work cut out between now and November

Dem Winner Throws Trump’s Words Back in His Face

Abdul El-Sayed’s Republican opponent directly pitches Democrats, hoping to capitalize after divisive primary

Trump calls El-Sayed ‘full of sh**’ as Michigan Senate race shifts to general election

Pete Buttigieg: Everyone’s ‘watching the state of Michigan right now’

Hillary Clinton Admits Far-Left Candidates Give the GOP a ‘Very Effective Attack’ Against Democrats (VIDEO)

Where El-Sayed Showed Strengths, and Weaknesses, in the Michigan Primary

Michigan Dems launch statewide organizing push to consolidate support after primary

El-Sayed win spotlights democratic divide over Israel, Jewish voters

Latest Polls

Candidate Endorsements

Campaign Fundraising

Related Races

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