

Track North Carolina election odds, candidates, polls, key dates, market volume and race movement across the 2026 races on Prediction Edge.
North Carolina's 2026 cycle is headlined by an open US Senate seat: Republican Thom Tillis is retiring, and former Governor Roy Cooper (D) will face former RNC chair Michael Whatley (R) after both won their March 3 primaries outright. The November 3 ballot also includes all 14 US House seats, the full state legislature, a state Supreme Court seat that shapes the court's partisan balance, and a voter-ID constitutional amendment; the governorship is not up again until 2028. North Carolina uses semi-closed primaries with a possible runoff. This hub connects live market odds with candidate pages, polling context, official dates and market-moving updates.
Republican Thom Tillis is retiring, leaving an open seat that could help decide Senate control. Former Governor Roy Cooper (D) faces former RNC chair Michael Whatley (R) in November; a separate market tracks the state's 2028 Senate race.
All 14 of North Carolina's US House seats are on the 2026 ballot. Tracked districts include NC-01, where Democrat Don Davis defends a seat redrawn in 2025, plus Democrat Deborah Ross's NC-02 and Republican Chuck Edwards's NC-11.
One North Carolina Supreme Court seat is on the November 2026 ballot: Democratic Justice Anita Earls faces Republican Sarah Stevens. The result determines whether the court's Republican majority widens to 6-1 or stays at 5-2.
Live odds, candidates and market movement for North Carolina State Senate races in 2026.
Explore candidate pages for North Carolina's major 2026 races — odds, polling, fundraising, endorsements and news.














| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Cooper | Whatley |
|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Cooper+8.4 | 49.6% | 41.2% |
Change ResearchJul 29 - Aug 1 | Cooper+9.0 | 50.0% | 41.0% |
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchJul 23 - 27 | Cooper+9.0 | 53.0% | 44.0% |
Public Policy PollingJul 9 - 10 | Cooper+4.0 | 48.0% | 44.0% |
The New York Times/Siena UniversityJun 15 - 27 | Cooper+7.0 | 50.0% | 43.0% |
YouGovJun 1 - 10 | Cooper+14.0 | 48.0% | 34.0% |
Harper PollingMay 10 - 11 | Cooper+11.1 | 49.8% | 38.7% |
Change ResearchMay 4 - 8 | Cooper+7.0 | 49.0% | 42.0% |
Opinion DiagnosticsApr 21 - 24 | Cooper+9.0 | 50.4% | 41.4% |
High Point University Survey Research Center/YouGovMar 26 - Apr 6 | Cooper+10.0 | 49.0% | 39.0% |
High Point University Survey Research Center/YouGovMar 26 - Apr 6 | Cooper+8.0 | 50.0% | 42.0% |
Quantus InsightsMar 31 - Apr 1 | Cooper+4.8 | 48.6% | 43.8% |
Harper PollingMar 22 - 23 | Cooper+7.8 | 48.9% | 41.1% |